Substantial-Arcade
0x9b4618aee279e04a01b3446aa9bebfa55ad8e647
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.89
Total PnL
$-6.01
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-16?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2025$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?
10 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.91
- YES
Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-03-13?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-15?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-03-16?$1.00Mar 16, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth win on 2025-03-15?$1.00Mar 15, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-15?$2.00Mar 15, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-03-13?$1.00Mar 13, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-15?$1.00Mar 13, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?$0.00Mar 13, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-11?$2.38Mar 13, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?$1.00Mar 11, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-11?$1.00Mar 11, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa win on 2025-02-25?$0.00Mar 11, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brighton win on 2025-02-25?$1.48Feb 25, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton win on 2025-02-25?$1.00Feb 25, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win on 2025-02-25?$1.00Feb 25, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win on 2025-02-23?$2.27Feb 23, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$1.00Feb 23, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-02-23?$1.00Feb 23, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Sociedad win on 2025-02-20?$1.56Feb 20, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Twente win on 2025-02-20?$0.54Feb 20, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad win on 2025-02-20?$1.00Feb 20, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Twente win on 2025-02-20?$1.00Feb 20, 19:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 11:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.