Shimmering-Pizza
0x9b5647bf8f2a912d427997a5dbc12f66400d192b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$100.00
Total PnL
$-794.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$100.00
$82.00
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
2520 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-244.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $120,000 on October 31?
1700 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-102.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?
800 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-156.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
799 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-211.32
- YES
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
500 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-90.50
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Hayden Davis in jail in 2025?
250 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-47.25
- YES
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
250 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $120,000 on October 31?$102.00Oct 28, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$198.75Jun 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.03Jun 27, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.68Jun 27, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$6.85Jun 27, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.01Jun 27, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$90.50Jun 27, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYHayden Davis in jail in 2025?$25.35May 25, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYHayden Davis in jail in 2025?$18.30May 20, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYHayden Davis in jail in 2025?$3.60Mar 31, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? $15.00Mar 17, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$18.00Jan 29, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$10.00Jan 29, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden pardon Fauci?$500.00Jan 20, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin above $0.40 on December 20?$0.00Jan 9, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?$0.00Jan 9, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?$0.00Jan 9, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?$0.00Jan 9, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$0.00Jan 9, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?$60.00Jan 9, 23:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $39.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 22:38 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 22:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".