Uncomfortable-Fundraising
0x9b5fb62ff41e104e65fa6cc4e57575ebd05f11c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$4.25
Total PnL
$-610.46
Realised
$-266.58
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
13 shares @ 43.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.75
$-2.01
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
3045 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-36.39
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?
2012 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-69.90
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?
1124 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.10
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
1098 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-37.40
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?
807 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.10
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?
789 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-16.79
- YES
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
611 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?
512 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?$12.38Jul 15, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran successfully targets shipping on July 7?$65.66Jul 7, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIran successfully targets shipping on July 6?$3.43Jul 7, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?$16.58Jul 2, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by June 30?$1.00Jun 30, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by June 30?$3.70Jun 30, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 15?$11.76Jun 30, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex any territory by December 31?$2.87Jun 30, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?$4.67Jun 30, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$6.11Jun 30, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$19.89Jun 30, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$18.32Jun 30, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$5.00Jun 30, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?$10.00Jun 30, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?$10.00Jun 30, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 15?$8.00Jun 30, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$25.00Jun 30, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$25.00Jun 30, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on July 8?$6.00Jun 30, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on July 7?$6.00Jun 30, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 18:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 21:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.