Accomplished-Service
0x9b631335afa5b467b7c70c7dbfc498a68a5cc6ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-432.00
Realised
$2.88
Win rate
20%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 7?
633 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on June 27?
300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 23?
300 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 28?
261 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.52
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 22?
244 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?
223 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-19.76
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 2?
216 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-44.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 22?
213 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-30.55
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 27?
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28?
200 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 25?$6.00Jul 24, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 25?$4.42Jul 24, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 25?$0.83Jul 24, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 25?$0.75Jul 24, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 23?$4.98Jul 22, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 23?$0.12Jul 22, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 23?$17.49Jul 22, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 23?$16.59Jul 22, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 22?$92.84Jul 21, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 21?$34.22Jul 21, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 21?$0.75Jul 21, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 21?$0.11Jul 21, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 21?$0.79Jul 21, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 21?$6.83Jul 21, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?$6.31Jul 20, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?$12.00Jul 20, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?$7.00Jul 20, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 17?$40.00Jul 20, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 19?$1.79Jul 19, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 19?$0.91Jul 19, 09:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 02:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 22:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.