Pitiful-Garter
0x9b71954d7c0cad110658d7b49101afc1ba9135ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-62.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during the announcement on December 22?
120 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Google Gemini Parlay
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
76 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-27.72
- YES
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
76 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.86
- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
75 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?$5.57Feb 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$20.00Feb 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$47.06Feb 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$75.00Feb 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?$100.00Feb 12, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle Gemini Parlay$4.12Jan 10, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle Gemini Parlay$0.70Jan 9, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle Gemini Parlay$9.18Jan 9, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during the announcement on December 22?$1.20Dec 22, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: September$0.00Nov 23, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMPolish strike on Belarus by September 30?$0.00Nov 23, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$696.13Oct 31, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$689.17Sep 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLD4vd arrested by September 30?$5.00Sep 18, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYD4vd arrested by September 30?$46.10Sep 17, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPolish strike on Belarus by September 30?$4.00Sep 11, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$734.27Sep 9, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$86.80Sep 3, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$9.80Sep 2, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: September$3.40Sep 2, 07:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $120.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 12:28 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 17:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.