Sore-Home
0x9b7650194e10d0d6c822996ab9c0cafb04c66984
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-909.87
Realised
$36.29
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
9919 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-49.63
- YES
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
6678 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-27.53
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?
5600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 30?
3853 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 31?
3030 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 30?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
2900 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-23.35
- NO
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?
2700 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-31.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 2?
2295 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$1.02Jun 19, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$1.20Jun 19, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$0.16Jun 19, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$0.08Jun 19, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$0.21Jun 19, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$0.36Jun 19, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$0.21Jun 19, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$2.67Jun 19, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$0.13Jun 19, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$0.13Jun 19, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$0.13Jun 19, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$2.08Jun 19, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$0.13Jun 19, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$0.17Jun 19, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$0.21Jun 19, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$0.21Jun 19, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$0.21Jun 19, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$0.15Jun 19, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$0.13Jun 19, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?$0.42Jun 19, 03:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 12:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 03:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.