Teeming-Masonry
0x9b7aa30edb7e023627d7c54dec68ebee70595131
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.39
Total PnL
$-81.56
Realised
$-1.56
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?
124 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.06
$-1.18
- YES
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?
111 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.06
$-1.05
- YES
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
111 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.06
$-1.05
- YES
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?
111 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.06
$-1.05
- YES
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?
111 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.06
$-2.16
- YES
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?
111 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.06
$-2.16
- YES
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
111 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.06
$-1.05
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1
1111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?
222 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
222 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$0.90Jul 18, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$0.99Jul 5, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?$0.99Jun 30, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?$1.02Jun 28, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$0.51Jun 13, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?$1.02Jun 13, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?$0.51Jun 13, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$5.00May 24, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$5.00May 24, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$2.45May 24, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$2.45May 24, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$2.50May 24, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$2.50May 24, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$2.04May 21, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.00May 21, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.00May 21, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLGalatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 2.5$9.98May 9, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?$19.98May 9, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGalatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 2.5$3.30May 9, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 13:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 17:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.