Large-Variation
0x9b7ac362d911e3483bdf0fb95a423278bc54bc22
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-846.95
Realised
$-34.22
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August?
10505 shares @ 16.4¢·now 19.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$2.0K
$272.24
- UNDER
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5
1787 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-464.71
- YES
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
1163 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-186.00
- YES
Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
979 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
970 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-134.92
- OVER
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5
141 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-49.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals AND Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5$192.19Aug 22, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August?$5.70Aug 22, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August?$363.93Aug 22, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August?$654.98Aug 22, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?$1.0KAug 22, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August?$44.83Aug 22, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August?$528.34Aug 22, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August?$226.73Aug 22, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?$800.62Aug 22, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)$2.0KAug 22, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)$174.67Aug 22, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLDetroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals$175.45Aug 22, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)$4.28Aug 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)$953.11Aug 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?$21.16Aug 22, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?$394.48Aug 22, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLChicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners$1.4KAug 22, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?$5.49Aug 22, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?$418.01Aug 22, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLChicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners$423.53Aug 22, 01:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $325.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 22:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.