Impressionable-Interloper
0x9b853977cd5fd900573022deae4c9d5d82e1cd3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$6.8K
Total PnL
$-20.9K
Realised
$400.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
5058 shares @ 36.4¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.0K
$1.2K
- NO
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
2013 shares @ 65.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.7K
$403.22
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
4675 shares @ 52.9¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.2K
$-1.2K
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
2000 shares @ 65.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$730.00
$-570.00
- NO
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
566 shares @ 42.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$127.34
$-110.36
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
8000 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
7000 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-4.7K
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
5604 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-336.26
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?
4685 shares @ 82.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.9K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.46Jul 8, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$847.00Jul 7, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 5, 02:37 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.55Jul 2, 16:06 UTC
- REWARD$0.10Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$10.71Jul 1, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$18.57Jul 1, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$94.95Jul 1, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$780.00Jul 1, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$97.34Jul 1, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$9.75Jul 1, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$3.00Jul 1, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$185.71Jul 1, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$36.41Jul 1, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$9.20Jul 1, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$36.41Jul 1, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$9.03Jul 1, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$8.90Jul 1, 16:02 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$20.24Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.85Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $231.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.