0x9b9011e8922490e120ac085ef2cefbfd04263ccf
0x9b9011e8922490e120ac085ef2cefbfd04263ccf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
4906 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
4800 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
2560 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2360 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2340 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-200.14
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
172 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.29Mar 21, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 4?$1.04Mar 21, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 54°F or higher on February 4?$1.05Mar 21, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.08Feb 4, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.03Feb 4, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 4?$1.00Feb 4, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 54°F or higher on February 4?$1.00Feb 4, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.06Jan 6, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$3.07Jan 6, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.00Dec 17, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$2.00Dec 9, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Dec 5, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 5, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$5.1KNov 19, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Nov 19, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$5.0KNov 19, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$2.6KNov 19, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.5KNov 19, 03:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $344.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 02:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.