Untrue-Marathon
0x9b953b5746fd3d40a42276599464f624186091d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$39.05
Total PnL
$1.33
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Philippines win on 2026-06-03?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$20.00
$1.20
- NO
Mexico vs. South Africa: Neither team to score first?
19 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$19.00
$1.14
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
1 shares @ 5.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.05
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: Neither team to score first?$17.89Jun 11, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philippines win on 2026-06-03?$18.83Jun 3, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iceland win on 2026-05-31?$14.00Jun 3, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)$15.00Jun 3, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iceland win on 2026-05-31?$13.18May 30, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)$13.98May 19, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$0.00May 19, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMCA River Plate vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 0.5$21.00May 19, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA River Plate vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 0.5$18.96May 10, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?$21.45Mar 19, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?$20.80Mar 19, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Miguel Roca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$816.73Mar 19, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Roca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$815.85Mar 19, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$41.58Mar 19, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$47.47Mar 19, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$92.34Mar 19, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?$53.95Mar 19, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?$56.76Mar 19, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$136.07Mar 19, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$681.29Mar 19, 10:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $165.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 07:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 02:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.