Close-Analogy
0x9b95ffa9cbdd5a53fdcff8193cdfe28da995a426
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$963.26
Total PnL
$-64.56
Realised
$8.92
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
1034 shares @ 18.2¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$227.42
$39.26
- YES
UK Recession in 2026?
437 shares @ 35.2¢·now 45.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$196.55
$42.80
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
595 shares @ 31.1¢·now 30.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$180.26
$-4.56
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
140 shares @ 58.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.20
$9.09
- YES
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
174 shares @ 52.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.61
$-21.71
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
441 shares @ 12.1¢·now 10.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$46.98
$-6.27
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
1264 shares @ 6.6¢·now 3.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$46.77
$-36.07
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
300 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.50
$-16.50
- NO
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 16.1¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.50
$-22.80
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 32.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.00
$-17.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$111.53Jun 13, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$38.32Jun 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$58.53Jun 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$34.24Jun 13, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$82.57Jun 13, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$212.03Jun 13, 01:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$12.83Jun 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$25.69Jun 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$2.54Jun 12, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$4.08Jun 12, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$2.50Jun 12, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?$3.75Jun 12, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 150 (High)?$0.26Jun 12, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$10.48Jun 12, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$3.06Jun 12, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?$1.91Jun 12, 03:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.90Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $28.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.