Flaky-Definition
0x9bab19d14319ab0cf86af85593fc28f8a8754d7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
98
Open notional
$7.13
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$381.78
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
150 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.67
$-0.82
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.45
$-7.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11?
6299 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-17.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13?
6001 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-218.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on September 16?
5567 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-342.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?
4519 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-94.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on August 18?
3393 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-77.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?
2800 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-111.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?
2300 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2025$0.00
$-24.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?
1500 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-135.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?$1.83Feb 11, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$0.86Feb 2, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$6.59Feb 2, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?$15.00Jan 29, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLSilver (SI) Up or Down on January 29?$38.54Jan 29, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLGold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?$4.50Jan 29, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLGold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?$19.95Jan 29, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?$142.27Jan 29, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSilver (SI) Up or Down on January 29?$10.00Jan 29, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (SI) Up or Down on January 29?$19.00Jan 29, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?$2.20Jan 29, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?$19.00Jan 29, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLGold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?$127.98Jan 29, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLGold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?$5.09Jan 29, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?$3.63Jan 29, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLGold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?$0.45Jan 29, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (SI) Up or Down on January 29?$10.50Jan 29, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on January 29?$5.00Jan 29, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?$1.72Jan 29, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?$2.12Jan 29, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $22.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 07:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 12:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".