Polite-Roadway
0x9bad119382d392abad7617714aad2f16c826e98d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
157
Open notional
$93.68
Total PnL
$-460.61
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 157- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
93 shares @ 16.2¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.92
$-2.08
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
101 shares @ 9.9¢·now 10.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.86
$0.86
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
102 shares @ 8.5¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.85
$1.17
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1522 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.37
$0.76
- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$4.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.85
$-0.15
- OVER
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5
9 shares @ 46.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
769 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.46
$-6.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5$2.05Jun 16, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?$1.03Jun 16, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5$2.03Jun 16, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5$3.06Jun 16, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5$2.04Jun 16, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5$4.06Jun 16, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 16, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 16, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$0.00Jun 16, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$10.71Jun 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$5.27Jun 16, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$3.16Jun 16, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$8.32Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$5.25Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 12.5 Total Corners$1.03Jun 16, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$1.02Jun 16, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand?$2.05Jun 16, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$3.06Jun 16, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$3.06Jun 15, 23:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 05:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 06:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.