Defiant-Marathon
0x9bb47bb98ecdc6f46b96c3eca22758de96968d70
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$48.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
1300 shares @ 78.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.2K
$156.00
- NO
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
600 shares @ 75.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$396.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?
1400 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
1000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-139.98
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?
990 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-504.66
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 13?
469 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-62.35
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 17?
300 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 23?
298 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-53.71
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 10?
150 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-52.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 5?
145 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-100.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10Aug 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 5, 02:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 3, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $68.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.