Gargantuan-Invention-Hole
0x9bbc8609994f19ce14b4e2f3d6fe6716985c011b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$173.13
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$348.29
Win rate
25%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
450 shares @ 40.3¢·now 38.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$173.13
$-8.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
6011 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-84.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
1638 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-123.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
985 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-375.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
961 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
750 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
721 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
543 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$3.00Aug 23, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$20.00Aug 23, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Aug 23, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$30.50Aug 23, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$3.00Aug 23, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$0.01Aug 23, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$229.19Aug 23, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$2.90Aug 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$14.50Aug 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$34.80Aug 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$20.00Aug 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$8.00Aug 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$14.50Aug 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$11.50Aug 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$19.80Aug 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$2.55Aug 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$35.10Aug 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$2.97Aug 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$40.00Aug 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.78Aug 23, 08:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 44 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
44 closed markets, 25% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $19.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.