Cuddly-Xylophone
0x9bbd2af42ae875acc6a8ec4172ff6222530f7706
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$83.90
Total PnL
$-5.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
48 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$48.48
$0.68
- NO
Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-12-01?
8 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$8.00
$6.16
- NO
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia end in a draw?
6 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$6.00
$4.20
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$3.77
$0.07
- NO
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?
3 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.19
$0.09
- NO
Will the U.S. collect more than $2t in revenue in 2025?
3 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.55
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.52
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?
2 shares @ 92.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.39
$0.19
- NO
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?
674 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia end in a draw?$1.80Dec 1, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brøndby IF win on 2025-12-01?$1.84Dec 1, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Braga win on 2025-12-01?$1.70Dec 1, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?$3.51Dec 1, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Jets win the AFC East?$3.65Dec 1, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$4.73Dec 1, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$47.80Nov 19, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$2.13Nov 19, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill What We Do in the Shadows win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?$2.22Nov 19, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?$2.70Nov 19, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Blue Bloc win by 9 or more seats?$2.77Nov 19, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wyatt Langford win the 2025 AL MVP?$2.91Nov 19, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in August?$3.16Nov 19, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$3.52Nov 19, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill KrF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$4.10Nov 19, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMTravis Hunter doesn't play Offense or Defense in first 4 games?$4.14Nov 19, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in August?$5.16Nov 19, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Baltimore Orioles win the AL East Division?$5.76Nov 19, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$6.84Nov 19, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cole Ragans win the 2025 AL Cy Young?$7.65Nov 19, 16:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $5.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 07:27 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.