Uneven-Guitar
0x9bbeef6218a42448d828dbe14d03ee02d2744b87
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$177.44
Win rate
76%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or below on April 19?
2850 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
2470 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-89.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
1160 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
955 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-48.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
939 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1PM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4PM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2PM ET
735 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-37.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10AM ET
650 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
517 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-18.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$6.25Apr 29, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$5.28Apr 29, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$4.16Apr 28, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$4.28Apr 28, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$2.10Apr 28, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$0.00Apr 28, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$4.25Apr 28, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.28Apr 28, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$2.22Apr 28, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$10.48Apr 28, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$10.70Apr 28, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$9.33Apr 28, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$9.46Apr 28, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$8.28Apr 28, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$8.60Apr 28, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$5.26Apr 28, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$5.02Apr 28, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$3.16Apr 28, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.13Apr 28, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$4.73Apr 28, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.