Lumpy-Connotation
0x9bcae167da9cad763758eed53216b390e0445337
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$85.66
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
58 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$58.14
$8.14
- YES
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
420 shares @ 40.5¢·now 6.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$27.52
$-142.48
- YES
Solana all time high before 2026?
1547 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
1352 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-750.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
1343 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-650.00
- YES
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
778 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
755 shares @ 56.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-429.00
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
719 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
698 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-290.00
- 150K
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
697 shares @ 57.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-400.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by December 31?$100.00Oct 29, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLCurrent shutdown longest in U.S. history?$73.91Oct 29, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$50.00Oct 29, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high before 2026?$50.00Oct 29, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$50.00Oct 29, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$79.00Oct 29, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$50.00Oct 29, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$50.00Oct 29, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$25.00Oct 24, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?$25.00Oct 24, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYPump.fun all time high by December 31?$25.00Oct 24, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$25.00Oct 24, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$50.00Oct 24, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$50.00Oct 24, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?$115.00Oct 24, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELL100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$116.18Oct 24, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$50.00Oct 24, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high before 2026?$50.00Oct 24, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first?$100.00Oct 24, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$100.00Oct 24, 11:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $86.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 08:23 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 11:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.