Gummy-Casserole
0x9be5b67ba060e4c34c7d21620bce2d31ef75985e
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$188.47
Realised
$-4.23
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$453.05
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
285 shares @ 66.9¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$236.53
$45.80
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?
205 shares @ 85.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$203.26
$28.57
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 88.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$197.38
$21.20
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$196.95
$-453.05
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
200 shares @ 82.8¢·now 91.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$182.80
$17.14
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
110 shares @ 80.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$108.19
$19.19
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$93.00
$2.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
100 shares @ 90.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$89.54
$-0.61
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
80 shares @ 93.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$79.56
$4.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$2.40Jun 13, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$18.20Jun 13, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$19.82Jun 13, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$31.97Jun 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$22.85Jun 13, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$9.14Jun 13, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$10.01Jun 13, 03:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$9.13Jun 12, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$45.66Jun 12, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$18.27Jun 12, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$9.39Jun 12, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$18.27Jun 12, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?$154.00Jun 12, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?$160.00Jun 12, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$47.00Jun 12, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$10.00Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7.80Jun 12, 21:54 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$600.00Jun 12, 20:39 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$300.00Jun 12, 20:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $18.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.