Tidy-Octopus-Escape
0x9c114982228228a5882233cf98fcc32e52cb847b
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$408.34
Total PnL
$49.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?
47 shares @ 26.8¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$44.92
$32.42
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
27 shares @ 46.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$27.08
$14.58
- NO
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?
26 shares @ 48.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$25.82
$13.32
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
26 shares @ 48.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.31
$11.81
- NO
Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election?
67 shares @ 18.7¢·now 36.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$24.10
$11.60
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 37.0¢·now 56.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$18.96
$6.46
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.47
$8.47
- NO
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$12.75
$7.75
- NO
Another pandemic before GTA VI?
25 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.63
$0.13
- NO
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Sep 27, 2026$12.50
$7.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$5.09Jul 28, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vox get a cabinet seat in the next Andalusian government?$0.00Jul 26, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill a trailer for Avengers: Doomsday premiere at SDCC 2026?$0.00Jul 26, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill a trailer for Blade Runner 2099 premiere at SDCC 2026?$0.00Jul 26, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026?$0.00Jul 25, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$0.00Jul 25, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill a trailer for Marvel's Wolverine premiere at SDCC 2026?$0.00Jul 24, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?$0.00Jul 24, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$0.00Jul 24, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 21, 2026?$0.00Jul 24, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill a trailer for Marvel Tōkon: Fighting Souls premiere at SDCC 2026?$0.00Jul 24, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMIran successfully targets shipping by July 31?$0.00Jul 24, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?$5.09Jul 21, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?$5.26Jul 21, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping by July 31?$5.00Jul 20, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.00Jul 20, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?$4.57Jul 20, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?$5.13Jul 20, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?$4.66Jul 20, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 19, 2026?$0.00Jul 20, 06:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 00:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.