0x9c116d044cc3929710464753e5bcfc7f4c432818
0x9c116d044cc3929710464753e5bcfc7f4c432818
Wallet digest
Activity score
26/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.28
Realised
$-0.28
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.45Aug 13, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.82Aug 13, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.96Aug 13, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$3.45Aug 13, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.04Aug 13, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.03Aug 13, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.06Aug 13, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.06Aug 13, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.72Aug 13, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$5.85Aug 13, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.04Aug 13, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.04Aug 13, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.04Aug 13, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.04Aug 13, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.06Aug 13, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.04Aug 13, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$6.13Jun 13, 06:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 06:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 09:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.