Actual-Installation
0x9c1fc7ee94a232113621984293a5d3b38dbfefe1
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$60.69
Total PnL
$-544.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on February 28?
21 shares @ 48.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$20.80
$10.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 42°F or higher on February 28?
20 shares @ 49.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$20.39
$10.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 28?
20 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$19.50
$11.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
262 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-78.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
180 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
129 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-43.40
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
99 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-46.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
54 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 28?
48 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 1?$8.00Feb 28, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 1?$10.00Feb 28, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on February 28?$10.01Feb 27, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 28?$8.00Feb 27, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 42°F or higher on February 28?$10.12Feb 27, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 28?$10.10Feb 27, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$6.99Feb 23, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$0.59Feb 23, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.38Feb 23, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$6.73Feb 23, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$14.77Feb 23, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$14.77Feb 23, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$14.77Feb 23, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$14.78Feb 23, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$14.84Feb 23, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$6.45Feb 23, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$8.70Feb 23, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$8.25Feb 23, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$8.40Feb 23, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$5.00Feb 23, 16:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $6.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 21:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 01:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.