Jumpy-Acid
0x9c22fc6a3865e1749d7ba7c2a5c46d26e69c444c
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-3.0K
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
574 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$566.83
$27.27
- NO
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$491.00
$51.00
- NO
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
300 shares @ 54.7¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$246.00
$81.90
- NO
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
216 shares @ 65.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$188.95
$46.60
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
200 shares @ 67.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$103.00
$-31.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
200 shares @ 46.3¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$56.98
$-35.62
- NO
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.96
$11.18
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
320 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.60
$-6.88
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?
300 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.10
$-36.05
- NO
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?
200 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$100.00Jun 18, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$29.65Jun 17, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?$34.50Jun 17, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?$28.50Jun 17, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?$22.50Jun 17, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?$19.50Jun 17, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?$16.50Jun 17, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?$14.00Jun 17, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?$200.00Jun 17, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$4.21Jun 16, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$0.59Jun 16, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$0.55Jun 16, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$19.78Jun 15, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$10.60Jun 15, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?$14.38Jun 15, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?$64.58Jun 15, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$64.00Jun 15, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$81.00Jun 15, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?$102.16Jun 14, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$34.80Jun 14, 21:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $73.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 00:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.