Jumpy-Acid
0x9c22fc6a3865e1749d7ba7c2a5c46d26e69c444c
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$551.97
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-3.0K
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
300 shares @ 54.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$235.50
$71.40
- NO
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
216 shares @ 65.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$193.27
$50.91
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
100 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$99.45
$16.45
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?
1563 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$17.19
$-2.19
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
320 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.56
$-5.92
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in July?
1200 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-44.90
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
1000 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-364.59
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
833 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-408.89
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?
300 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-38.15
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in July?
200 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?$0.01Aug 10, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?$3.22Aug 10, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?$0.72Aug 10, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?$0.02Aug 10, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?$0.25Aug 10, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?$0.40Aug 10, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?$0.60Aug 10, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?$5.77Aug 10, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?$0.02Aug 10, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?$0.20Aug 10, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?$1.52Aug 10, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?$12.57Aug 10, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in July?$4.96Jul 9, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in July?$0.04Jul 9, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in July?$12.50Jul 9, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in July?$2.50Jul 8, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in July?$5.00Jul 8, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in July?$6.50Jul 8, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$83.00Jul 7, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in July?$41.43Jul 7, 14:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $57.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 09:33 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 17:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.