Smoggy-Rent
0x9c2995a27f5dc872f03e56a337a99e09c19bdfb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$3.15
Total PnL
$-342.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.35
$-18.65
- YES
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.04
$-18.96
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.76
$-1.24
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in January 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will “Ruth & Boaz” be the top global Netflix movie this week?
2267 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will “Other” be the top global Netflix movie this week?
1060 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?$11.00Jan 17, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?$61.66Jan 17, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?$10.00Jan 17, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in January 2026?$10.00Jan 17, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?$10.00Jan 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?$10.00Jan 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$10.00Jan 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$10.00Jan 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$5.00Jan 17, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?$20.00Jan 17, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?$20.00Jan 17, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?$30.00Nov 23, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$30.00Nov 23, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Siversk by November 30?$10.00Nov 2, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$84.75Oct 30, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?$101.92Oct 30, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dobropillia by November 30?$5.00Oct 16, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Uspenivka by October 31?$10.00Oct 15, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?$10.00Oct 15, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$32.25Oct 14, 14:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $9.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 08:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 17:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".