Bad-Celebration
0x9c2e2fc37aee37a8ebf3b4258407544e01532101
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-47.95
Realised
$-23.97
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or higher on March 25?
1156 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 58°F or higher on March 25?
520 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on March 26?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 22?
42 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 22?$0.00Mar 28, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on March 26?$0.00Mar 28, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 58°F or higher on March 25?$0.00Mar 28, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or higher on March 25?$0.00Mar 28, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$0.00Mar 28, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$0.00Mar 28, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMRaptors vs. Suns$0.00Mar 28, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Celtics$0.00Mar 28, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMNets vs. Kings: O/U 219.5$0.00Mar 28, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.00Mar 28, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.00Mar 28, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.00Mar 28, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00Mar 28, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00Mar 28, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.00Mar 28, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 22?$0.00Mar 28, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$0.00Mar 28, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.00Mar 28, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$0.00Mar 28, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.00Mar 28, 23:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 23:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 23:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.