Exhausted-Legitimacy
0x9c330622c56eaf9110a876083ebf4b9a4bc5f130
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$74.46
Total PnL
$1.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on May 5?
20 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$20.00
$0.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$19.99
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on June 20?
20 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$19.99
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 21?
13 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$13.38
$0.06
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 21?$13.32Jun 20, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 19?$29.99Jun 19, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on June 20?$19.90Jun 19, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 19?$29.75Jun 19, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?$4.93Jun 19, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?$3.94Jun 19, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?$5.94Jun 19, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?$5.15Jun 19, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on May 5?$13.39May 5, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on May 5?$5.83May 5, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 61°F or below on April 23?$20.00May 5, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 47°F or below on April 24?$30.00May 5, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 47°F or below on April 24?$30.00May 5, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 24?$30.00May 5, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on April 24?$30.00May 5, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 61°F or below on April 23?$19.88Apr 22, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on April 24?$29.73Apr 22, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 24?$29.91Apr 22, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 47°F or below on April 24?$29.91Apr 22, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 47°F or below on April 24?$29.85Apr 22, 13:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $30.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 04:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.