Mountainous-Misunderstand
0x9c395e4ed589d6fbcbb51a82e441a07a76cfb716
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.95
Realised
$0.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 75°F or below on July 25?
78 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.22
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 12?
10 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
7 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
5 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on July 25?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 12?$0.36Dec 12, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 12?$3.00Dec 12, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$3.00Dec 12, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$4.00Dec 12, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by August 15?$5.00Jul 31, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on July 23?$0.39Jul 30, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?$1.28Jul 30, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 78-79°F on July 25?$2.13Jul 30, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?$5.41Jul 30, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 75°F or below on July 25?$0.28Jul 25, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 75°F or below on July 25?$0.91Jul 25, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 78-79°F on July 25?$1.00Jul 24, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on July 25?$1.00Jul 24, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 75°F or below on July 25?$1.00Jul 24, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on July 22?$0.00Jul 23, 09:58 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?$1.00Jul 23, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down on July 23?$0.76Jul 23, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?$0.36Jul 23, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?$1.00Jul 23, 08:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 14:37 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 15:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.