Wallet digest

active

Activity score

62/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$16.13

Total PnL

$-428.86

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 87

DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026
$16.13
$6.13
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
22 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
22 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026
$0.00
$-7.48
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$10.00Mar 4, 14:42 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$10.00Mar 4, 12:31 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$13.52Mar 4, 11:51 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$3.80Mar 4, 11:45 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$6.20Mar 4, 11:45 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$12.20Mar 4, 11:37 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$10.00Mar 4, 11:34 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$10.00Mar 4, 11:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.00Feb 27, 22:59 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$11.37Feb 27, 21:37 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.00Feb 27, 21:25 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$11.20Feb 27, 21:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$4.66Feb 27, 21:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.00Feb 27, 21:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$4.96Feb 27, 20:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$4.85Feb 27, 20:42 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.00Feb 27, 20:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$7.05Feb 27, 19:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$4.29Feb 27, 19:49 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$11.12Feb 27, 19:46 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry95 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk71 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 35
Avg trade size: $5.06
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 27, 16:21 UTC
Last active: Mar 4, 14:42 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 20:16:53 UTC·src:Polymarket Data