Digital-Idiom
0x9c49f60ab20d7904754b8053f224b43659721d27
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
163
Open notional
$303.03
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$-4.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 163- NO
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
241 shares @ 96.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$220.84
$-12.48
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
143 shares @ 13.3¢·now 31.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$44.62
$25.62
- YES
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
134 shares @ 48.4¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$37.57
$-27.43
- RAPTORS
Raptors vs. Knicks
702 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-210.48
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
653 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-333.03
- WILD
Avalanche vs. Wild
601 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-264.44
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Hawks
582 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-296.57
- MIAMI MARLINS
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays
557 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-256.00
- HOUSTON ASTROS
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians
554 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-243.83
- SUNS
Trail Blazers vs. Suns
543 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-314.98
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?$5.19Jul 22, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 22?$5.41Jul 22, 16:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$4.13Jul 21, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 22?$4.05Jul 21, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenerali Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Shevchenko AND Generali Open: Alex Molcan vs Sebastian Ofner AND Generali Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Marco Trungelliti$3.00Jul 21, 07:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$4.16Jul 18, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$91.81Jul 18, 20:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?$4.49Jul 15, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?$5.88Jul 15, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?$4.04Jul 15, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill PNC (PNC) beat quarterly earnings?$4.60Jul 15, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?$5.32Jul 15, 12:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $8.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 10:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.