Flippant-Bead
0x9c53b7133635d60c25318bef652e70d1ce5bf28b
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$33.20
Total PnL
$-11.31
Realised
$0.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
11 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$11.11
$0.10
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
6 shares @ 98.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.94
$-0.06
- NO
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
4 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.05
$0.05
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
8 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- PARIVISION
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.98
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.66May 23, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.32May 23, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 13?$10.01May 22, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?$16.13May 22, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 13?$10.00May 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.00May 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$11.00May 13, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?$16.01May 13, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$4.01May 13, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$4.02May 13, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$4.07May 13, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$4.09May 13, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWuning: Filip Peliwo vs Harry Wendelken$4.17May 13, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMJilin Northeast Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whales$4.30May 13, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Baez$5.21May 13, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Zsombor Piros$5.42May 13, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Abyssal vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #3 Playoffs$5.60May 13, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrey Esipenko win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?$7.93May 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?$6.00Apr 7, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYHenry Cavill announced as next James Bond?$4.00Apr 7, 11:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $8.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 11:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.