Ironclad-Splendor
0x9c5ad9beeeb3f384dff02e3fbce7f6e758b9c318
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-47.30
Realised
$18.79
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
2558 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$72.89
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?
16116 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-16.12
- YES
Will "Jake Bell" win Tony Honors for Excellence in the Theatre at the 2026 Tony Awards?
1249 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during Wisconsin events?
1175 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-73.11
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by May 31, 2026?
1150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- NO
Will Trump say "Farmer" during Small Business Summit?
742 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-24.86
- NO
Will "1/52 Project" win Tony Honors for Excellence in the Theatre at the 2026 Tony Awards?
683 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.68
- YES
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 23?
250 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.95
- YES
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
59 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$189.10Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$22.48Jun 13, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$99.90Jun 13, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$66.53Jun 13, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$188.91Jun 12, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$188.55Jun 12, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$188.55Jun 12, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$188.37Jun 12, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?$1.23Jun 11, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?$8.50Jun 11, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?$0.30Jun 11, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?$30.58Jun 11, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?$13.20Jun 11, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?$12.00Jun 11, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?$3.49Jun 11, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?$20.78Jun 11, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$98.30Jun 11, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?$35.25Jun 11, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?$35.24Jun 11, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?$35.17Jun 9, 10:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $29.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 05:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.