Amused-Vet
0x9c5d6308e54bd910ff31819a855a14bd557c41b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$208.10
Total PnL
$-43.17
Realised
$-7.92
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
108 shares @ 92.6¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.05
$4.05
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
56 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.97
$1.97
- NO
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?
52 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.92
$1.92
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.16
$-0.13
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on February 13?
185 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.51
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on February 14?
118 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on February 15?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Ethena reach $0.28 in February?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $40 on February 15?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 15?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$100.37May 15, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$50.00May 15, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?$10.17May 15, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMMoltbook shutdown by Feb 28?$10.38May 15, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMOdds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?$20.04May 15, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$25.10May 15, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$25.35May 15, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?$7.28Mar 23, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$8.00Mar 22, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?$7.86Feb 23, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chainlink dip to $4 in February?$3.68Feb 17, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?$3.69Feb 15, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on February 15?$0.97Feb 15, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on February 15?$1.10Feb 15, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on February 15?$0.80Feb 15, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on February 15?$0.65Feb 15, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lighter reach $10 before 2027?$3.14Feb 14, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chainlink dip to $4 in February?$1.32Feb 14, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lighter reach $10 before 2027?$2.68Feb 14, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?$6.00Feb 14, 14:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $8.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 02:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 07:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.