Inexperienced-Interconnection
0x9c6649899dd855ad7b97badd50aef72a9a976474
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.07
Total PnL
$-7.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel invade Lebanon before May?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2024$1.04
$0.04
- NO
EigenLayer airdrop by April?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2024$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel invade Lebanon before May?$1.00Apr 9, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEigenLayer airdrop by April?$1.00Apr 9, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum spot ETF approved by June 30?$2.00Apr 9, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?$1.00Apr 9, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF approved by May 31?$5.00Apr 9, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMCZ jail before March?$1.61Apr 9, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMBlast exploit by March 7?$0.00Apr 9, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill BTC hit $50,000 in February?$5.88Apr 9, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlast exploit by March 7?$0.20Feb 29, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCZ jail before March?$1.00Feb 5, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTC hit $50,000 in February?$1.00Feb 5, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?$0.00Feb 5, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMzkSync airdrop in 2023?$1.06Feb 5, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMLayerZero airdrop in 2023?$2.00Feb 5, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYzkSync airdrop in 2023?$1.00Nov 9, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?$0.50Nov 9, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLayerZero airdrop in 2023?$1.10Nov 9, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?$0.00Nov 9, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMBalaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17?$0.00Nov 9, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2023?$1.01Nov 9, 21:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 18:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 18:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.