Loud-Tabernacle
0x9c84bfd1d634f5b8ed670c3c76875e900f38be53
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$55.94
Total PnL
$-220.68
Realised
$-4.09
Win rate
0%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
400 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$11.80
$1.00
- YES
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
600 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.50
$-5.00
- YES
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
200 shares @ 4.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.10
$-4.50
- YES
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$1.40
- YES
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$2.85
$-0.05
- YES
Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
10 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$2.65
$-0.05
- YES
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
10 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$2.65
$-0.05
- YES
Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
10 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$2.55
$-0.05
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
10 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$2.50
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?$3.00Aug 11, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?$2.80Aug 11, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?$2.80Aug 11, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?$2.70Aug 11, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$2.70Aug 11, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$18.50Aug 10, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?$27.00Aug 10, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$17.30Aug 10, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$10.30Aug 9, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.19Aug 9, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?$5.00Aug 9, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.32Aug 9, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?$4.50Aug 8, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$4.50Aug 7, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$4.50Aug 7, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?$9.00Aug 7, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$3.00Aug 7, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?$0.08Aug 5, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?$0.01Aug 5, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?$0.09Aug 5, 07:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 52 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
52 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 14:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.