Deficient-Embassy
0x9c8c6de61fdc42b38354fa3b3879324b3947fffd
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$129.12
Total PnL
$4.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x China Military clash before 2027?
73 shares @ 89.4¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.38
$3.37
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.89
$-0.11
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
18 shares @ 89.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.15
$0.42
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 84.5¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.95
$-0.05
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- NO
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.11
$0.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.14
$-0.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.03May 25, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$20.00May 25, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$2.00May 25, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$3.59May 25, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$2.07May 25, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.55May 25, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.10May 25, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.00May 25, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.03May 25, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$5.10May 25, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$3.97May 25, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$5.18May 25, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.01May 25, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.39May 25, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.02May 25, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$10.00May 25, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$6.01May 25, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$1.00May 25, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$6.00May 25, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$3.13May 25, 02:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $12.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 04:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".