Upset-Markup
0x9c938bb9ce180dbd81dfbe1a423a3d4c6fbba6eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
733 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 15?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 30?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 22?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 27?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on October 26?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Trail Blazers vs. Raptors
17 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$84.08Jun 3, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$84.00Jun 2, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$84.08May 31, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$84.00May 26, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?$84.08May 23, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?$84.01May 23, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$84.08May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$84.01May 16, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$84.08May 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$84.01May 13, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$84.25May 12, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$84.00May 11, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$84.08May 11, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$84.00May 7, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.20May 7, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.21May 7, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?$1.23May 7, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.30May 7, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.40May 7, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$77.78May 7, 09:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $46.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".