Scaly-Flight-Majority
0x9c98c127cc87e8fc9cb5728b8f717b13db3dd88c
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$377.43
Total PnL
$-100.96
Realised
$24.54
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?
653 shares @ 39.7¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$310.18
$50.96
- YES
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 55.0 and 57.9 in August?
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$61.00
$21.00
- YES
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$5.75
$-5.25
- YES
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?
144 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.50
$-39.41
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
870 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
741 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
254 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-27.90
- YES
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?
101 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-31.28
- YES
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?
90 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-13.32
- YES
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 50.0 and 50.9 in July?
50 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.92Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?$211.17Aug 7, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?$55.86Aug 7, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?$303.70Aug 7, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 55.0 and 57.9 in August?$40.00Aug 6, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?$11.49Aug 3, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?$29.01Aug 3, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?$12.34Aug 3, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PPI YoY be 5.3% in July?$11.40Aug 2, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?$192.13Jul 30, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?$55.29Jul 25, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?$51.11Jul 22, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?$13.89Jul 21, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July?$2.09Jul 21, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 49.0 in July?$0.50Jul 21, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 50.0 and 50.9 in July?$8.34Jul 21, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 49.0 and 49.9 in July?$3.34Jul 21, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?$45.48Jul 19, 14:13 UTC
- REWARD$2.54Jul 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?$198.40Jul 18, 21:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $39.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.