Fearful-Pompom
0x9ca994f07b9bc3120611ae50af7f1612a7468b7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
2800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 21?
2400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
2210 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.42
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?
2102 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 17?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
1002 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on December 16?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on December 3?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$127.13Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$127.01Jun 2, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by May 31?$127.13Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by May 31?$127.00May 30, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?$127.13May 29, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?$127.01May 27, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$127.13May 24, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$127.01May 23, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$125.25May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$125.02May 16, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$4.64May 16, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$131.13May 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$131.01May 13, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?$131.13May 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?$131.01May 11, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$131.13May 9, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$131.01May 6, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?$128.38May 6, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?$128.03May 2, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.14May 2, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $65.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 11:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".