0x9cbecc270a491542e8017b61b02e484ce42bc9e4
0x9cbecc270a491542e8017b61b02e484ce42bc9e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
15/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-456.69
Realised
$-261.58
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 2?
672 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 3?
474 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-27.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?
193 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-81.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 3?
145 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-47.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 3?
50 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-14.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 3?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 6?
16 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 3?
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?
1 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$0.00Apr 25, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.00Apr 25, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.00Apr 25, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.00Apr 25, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.00Apr 25, 02:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 07:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 09:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.