0x9cc6f8a6c17b9b84e1550c4380354c86fde4076e
0x9cc6f8a6c17b9b84e1550c4380354c86fde4076e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$19.88
Total PnL
$-102.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 16?
14 shares @ 57.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$7.51
$-0.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$5.81
$0.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 15?
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$3.13
$0.13
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 16?
3 shares @ 87.8¢·now 82.2¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$2.81
$-0.19
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.62
$-2.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
12 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 12?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 14?
10 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 14?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.10Jul 15, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.88Jul 15, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$5.68Jul 15, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$5.32Jul 15, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$6.41Jul 15, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$5.09Jul 15, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.10Jul 15, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$6.02Jul 15, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.88Jul 15, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$5.07Jul 15, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$5.75Jul 15, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.13Jul 15, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$5.11Jul 15, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.10Jul 15, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$5.49Jul 15, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$5.10Jul 15, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$5.08Jul 15, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.49Jul 15, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.08Jul 15, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.81Jul 15, 14:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $5.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 07:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 16:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.