Unwilling-Authentication
0x9cc9d7766000d621e39dc9865a9920b1f224ac05
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$741.07
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-145.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14777 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$302.93
$66.50
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$226.00
$66.00
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$175.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2577 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$15.46
$-365.33
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9855 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.93
$-24.64
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
500 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.75
$-11.25
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
19 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.01
$-1.48
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?
3519 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.54
- YES
Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open?
2633 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-12.56
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 18, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 17, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$243.41Jun 14, 14:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.78Jun 11, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$240.00Jun 10, 05:34 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.28Jun 10, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$241.84Jun 9, 01:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.41Jun 9, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$234.00Jun 9, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$120.76Jun 9, 00:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $66.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 05:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.