Second-Cameo
0x9cd09b5cd4fe40eac5c78a450f47e45b73c16533
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$2.78
Total PnL
$-83.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$2.78
$0.28
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House
347 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-52.06
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
140 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump win 3 swing states?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump win 4 swing states?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
8 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump win 7 swing states?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.04
- NO
1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$2.00Dec 8, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?$2.50Dec 8, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$6.76Dec 8, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$27.46Oct 20, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump win no swing states?$21.76Oct 20, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLTom Tugendhat next Conservative party leader?$5.66Oct 20, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$24.60Oct 20, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win no swing states?$22.00Oct 20, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMScorigami in NFL Week 6?$0.00Oct 14, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$5.00Oct 14, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 7 swing states?$5.04Oct 13, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYScorigami in NFL Week 6?$5.00Oct 12, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMIf RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?$0.00Oct 12, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship?$0.00Oct 12, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?$0.00Oct 12, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?$0.00Oct 12, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "mixed-race" in August?$0.00Oct 12, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?$0.00Oct 12, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by September 18?$0.00Oct 12, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$0.00Oct 12, 17:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $7.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 01:14 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.