Defiant-Surge
0x9cdb504e06419a932c2565ac68774af0a8349d0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.11
Total PnL
$-14.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 21.3¢·now 23.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.11
$0.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
11 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 4?
10 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
7 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump post "Hell" on Truth Social this week?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.32May 26, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 8, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.09May 5, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.04May 5, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$3.45May 4, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$1.05May 4, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$1.04May 3, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.00May 3, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 4?$1.05May 3, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Hell" on Truth Social this week?$1.03May 3, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "ICE" 3+ times in Michigan?$1.03May 3, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00May 3, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$1.03May 3, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.03May 3, 21:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 21:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 19:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.