Profuse-Text
0x9ce164d36c403184b5816d6868c4a83a3d92bf19
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$16.00
Total PnL
$-716.48
Realised
$-9.40
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$11.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
100 shares @ 4.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$4.50
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 7?
209 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-202.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 4?
163 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 4?
163 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 4?
163 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 4?
163 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 4?
163 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 4?
163 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on June 4?
163 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?$0.96Jun 30, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?$2.41Jun 30, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?$1.25Jun 30, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?$2.36Jun 30, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?$1.50Jun 30, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?$2.41Jun 30, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?$2.70Jun 30, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?$1.50Jun 30, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?$1.45Jun 30, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?$1.35Jun 30, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?$1.04Jun 30, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?$1.19Jun 30, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?$1.45Jun 30, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?$1.25Jun 30, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?$1.50Jun 30, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?$1.25Jun 30, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?$1.50Jun 30, 10:07 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.91Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?$4.73Jun 29, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$11.29Jun 29, 10:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 10:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.