0x9ce3c1acbfe7c119cacdfcd11a10daa9de1a84b8
0x9ce3c1acbfe7c119cacdfcd11a10daa9de1a84b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$13.36
Total PnL
$-8.49
Realised
$-0.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
2197 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.30
$-6.70
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
2 shares @ 87.3¢·now 87.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
8 shares @ 12.6¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
12 shares @ 8.4¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 18?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 18?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 18?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
55 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 18?$1.03May 17, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 18?$1.04May 17, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 18?$1.05May 17, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on May 17?$0.14May 17, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on May 17?$0.65May 17, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on May 17?$1.05May 17, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on May 17?$1.05May 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 17?$1.05May 17, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.05May 17, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.74May 17, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.07May 17, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.02May 17, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.98May 17, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.05May 17, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.95May 17, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.60May 17, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$6.27May 17, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$7.69May 17, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.12May 17, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.05May 17, 02:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".