Probable-Sake
0x9ce8406620c1f549927d1b957a57b9ff2cb4d50d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$150.99
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?
100 shares @ 89.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$100.00
$10.20
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
51 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$38.58
$13.08
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
51 shares @ 50.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.42
$-13.08
- CELTICS
Celtics vs. Pistons
5600 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- HAWKS
Bucks vs. Hawks
5000 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $89.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.