Whispered-Analyst
0x9cf678753eb76b86ad5d702224a48e1caf04bf55
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$30.13
Total PnL
$-72.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.06
$3.06
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$7.94
$2.94
- YES
Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?
6 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.80
$1.80
- NO
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$4.23
$1.23
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.84
$-2.16
- NO
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
1 shares @ 78.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
96 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will less than 4 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$45.00Jul 3, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 achieve a sucessful splashdown?$3.03Jul 3, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?$0.00Jul 3, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval >40% on June 1?$0.00Jul 3, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy explode?$0.00Jul 3, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEM Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May?$0.00Jul 3, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before July?$8.59Jul 3, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$11.11Jul 3, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?$22.40Jul 3, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?$2.95May 20, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 4 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?$1.00May 20, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?$3.81May 20, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?$4.00May 17, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends taxes on tips in 2025?$3.00May 17, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. withdraws from Syria in 2025?$7.07May 17, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?$4.00May 17, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 achieve a sucessful splashdown?$2.00May 17, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 200–224 times May 9–16?$0.00May 17, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 225–249 times May 9–16?$0.00May 17, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill America be profitable any month in 2025?$0.00May 17, 12:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 07:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 19:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.