Austere-Thing
0x9cfba7760c2bf5d467136bc1496d65e0797324e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$207.57
Total PnL
$-11.8K
Realised
$23.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
128 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$128.21
$78.21
- NO
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
79 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$79.36
$29.36
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
15782 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
14414 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.2K
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
654 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.26
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
380 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
208 shares @ 64.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-134.00
- YES
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
188 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?
162 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
150 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$3.4KNov 5, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$7.8KNov 5, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$84.00Nov 5, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$104.76Nov 4, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$295.24Nov 4, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$25.40Nov 4, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$24.60Nov 4, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$15.00Nov 1, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?$35.00Nov 1, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$50.00Nov 1, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Siversk by December 31?$50.00Oct 27, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$50.00Oct 26, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$38.00Oct 10, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$33.00Oct 10, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$29.00Oct 10, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$50.00Oct 10, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$203.03Oct 10, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$200.00Oct 10, 04:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $690.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 04:58 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 14:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.