Cooked-Average
0x9cfdede5dd4784854c7d3fb3bbac03ba7efcc05f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$0.01
Total PnL
$-522.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
27 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.01
- YES
Will Orlando Cruz win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
5395 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.39
- YES
Will Russell Wilson win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Sam Darnold win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.25
- JAZZ
Heat vs. Jazz
226 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Spurs
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- PELICANS
Pelicans vs. Thunder
72 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.02
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Timberwolves
65 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Hawks
51 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMTexas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves$1.67Jul 18, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves$1.12Jul 17, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Golden Knights$1.07Jun 14, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Thunder$1.19Jun 14, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Warriors$1.90May 7, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$1.05May 7, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Warriors$1.55Apr 2, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Clippers$1.33Apr 2, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMJazz vs. Kings$1.67Apr 2, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets$2.17Apr 2, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Magic$3.00Mar 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Clippers$1.00Mar 16, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets$1.00Mar 16, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Bulls$5.00Mar 16, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Kings$1.00Mar 15, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Raptors$5.10Mar 15, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Hawks$10.10Mar 14, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMHornets vs. Kings$5.75Mar 13, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Raptors$5.09Mar 13, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Heat$10.01Mar 12, 23:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $5.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 02:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.